Who's betting on “Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?”?
Sports · $54K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $54K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
74% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
67 wallets hold a position worth $38 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is HandsomeKing, with $1 on it, $402 lifetime loss over 73 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is PrimePenguin, with $20 on it, $4.8K lifetime profit over 587 markets (78% won).
- Smart money share
- 74%
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $5
- Holders' winrate
- 43%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 70%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $33
- Holders' winrate
- 79%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| HandsomeKing | $1 | -$402 | 41% of 73 |
| leegunnerwhale | $0 | +$366K | 73% of 1,115 |
| glm4.1.fundnoise | $0 | +$593K | 32% of 105,072 |
| e46m3whale | $0 | +$1.1M | 47% of 74,403 |
| plainfoldernoise | $0 | +$70K | 27% of 18,032 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| PrimePenguinwhale | $20 | +$4.8K | 78% of 587 |
| NoLoyaltyToTheBosses | $10 | -$1.2K | 91% of 231 |
| productswhale | $3 | +$28K | 48% of 1,149 |
| influenz.ethwhale | $0 | +$244K | 51% of 344 |
| ratedwhale | $0 | +$12K | 52% of 391 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
- Paddy Pimblett$532K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Ilia Topuria$25K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Max Holloway$21K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Charles Oliveira$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
67 wallets hold a position worth $38 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is HandsomeKing, with $1 on it, $402 lifetime loss over 73 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is PrimePenguin, with $20 on it, $4.8K lifetime profit over 587 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $54K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
74% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.