Who's betting on “Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $174K traded all time
- Held now
- $17K by 182 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 62% 72 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 110 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $174K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
62% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.
Who holds it
182 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 182 of them.
- Holders
- 72
- Money on it
- $266
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 110
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?"?
182 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 182 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $174K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
62% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.