✓ Resolved No

Who's betting on “Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?”?

Tech$17K traded66 holdersUpdated September 30, 2026
0%Yes
100%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$17K
traded all time
Held now
$1.0K
by 66 wallets
Smart share · Yes
54%
45 scored holders
Smart share · No
55%
21 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

This market closed on September 30, 2026 and resolved No. $17K has been traded on it.

The smart money

54% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago it was split.

Who holds it

66 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them.

Yes0%
Smart money share54% ▲ 3 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 54%a day ago 51%now 54%
Holders
45
Money on it
$3
Holders' win rate
59%
No100%
Smart money share55% ▼ 21 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 55%a day ago 76%now 55%
Holders
21
Money on it
$1.0K
Holders' win rate
64%
Free on Polkyo

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?"?

66 wallets hold a position worth $1.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?"?

This market closed on September 30, 2026 and resolved No. $17K has been traded on it.

Which side is the smart money on?

54% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

This market closed on September 30, 2026 and resolved No. $17K has been traded on it.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.