Who's betting on “Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $941 by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 93% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
93% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $941 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them.
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $84
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $857
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $941 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
93% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.