Who's betting on “Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.8K by 72 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 37 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 57¢ and No at 43¢, a 57% implied chance of Yes. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 63 points.
Who holds it
72 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them.
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $3.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?"?
72 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 57¢ and No at 43¢, a 57% implied chance of Yes. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 63 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.