Who's betting on “Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 56% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 7 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.5K by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 56% 14 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 49% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
56% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is PaddyAlpha, with $134 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 402 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is Anjun, with $403 on it, $801K lifetime profit over 1,886 markets (67% won).
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $254
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$254 on it
- 1PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$134+$56K lifetime
- 2JesusFK2% won of 1,260$50−$15K lifetime
- 3TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 490$30−$52K lifetime
- 4hfv42% won of 44,695$14−$142K lifetime
- 5Bsau458% won of 396 · whale$7+$2.5K lifetime
No$1.3K on it
- 1Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$403+$801K lifetime
- 2Dapsy51% won of 919$167−$73K lifetime
- 3SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$167−$9.0K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$156−$377K lifetime
- 5ghorrock64% won of 33,443 · whale$88+$7.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
3 more- Xiaomi$60K vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- ByteDance$50K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- DeepSeek$47K vol.Yes 26%No 75%Smart money: Yes
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is PaddyAlpha, with $134 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 402 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is Anjun, with $403 on it, $801K lifetime profit over 1,886 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 17¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.