Who's betting on “Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $50K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.4K by 53 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 64% 32 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $50K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
64% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 38 points.
Who holds it
53 wallets hold a position worth $8.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is AiBird, with $320 on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754, with $7.4K on it, $8.7K lifetime profit over 13 markets (85% won).
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $794
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $7.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$794 on it
- 1AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$320+$122K lifetime
- 2PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$137+$56K lifetime
- 3longdated-poli3% won of 3,448$63−$64K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$60−$377K lifetime
- 5JesusFK2% won of 1,260$49−$15K lifetime
No$7.6K on it
- 10x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675485% won of 13$7.4K+$8.7K lifetime
- 2TrashGirl70% won of 318$63−$50 lifetime
- 3ghorrock64% won of 33,405 · whale$36+$7.2K lifetime
- 4y10088% won of 49$11+$27 lifetime
- 5kingnothingKC6750% won of 96 · balanced$9+$93 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
3 more- Xiaomi$60K vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- DeepSeek$47K vol.Yes 26%No 75%Smart money: Yes
- Moonshot AI$20K vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: Yes
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?"?
53 wallets hold a position worth $8.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is AiBird, with $320 on it, $122K lifetime profit over 1,279 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754, with $7.4K on it, $8.7K lifetime profit over 13 markets (85% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $50K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
64% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 38 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.