Who's betting on “Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $47K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.4K by 60 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 33 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 67% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $47K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
Who holds it
60 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754, with $437 on it, $8.7K lifetime profit over 13 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is HerrieDavis, with $675 on it, $325K lifetime profit over 2,687 markets (63% won).
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $874
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $2.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$874 on it
- 10x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675485% won of 13$437+$8.7K lifetime
- 2variant1.meta65% won of 248 · balanced$207+$5.8K lifetime
- 3rocky4201552% won of 1,056$45−$15K lifetime
- 4JesusFK2% won of 1,260$30−$15K lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$30+$334K lifetime
No$2.6K on it
- 1HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$675+$325K lifetime
- 20x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$571−$8.4K lifetime
- 3PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$529+$56K lifetime
- 4Tenebrus766% won of 1,613 · whale$373+$154K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$192−$377K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
3 more- Xiaomi$60K vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- ByteDance$50K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Moonshot AI$20K vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: Yes
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?"?
60 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754, with $437 on it, $8.7K lifetime profit over 13 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is HerrieDavis, with $675 on it, $325K lifetime profit over 2,687 markets (63% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $47K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.