Who's betting on “Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 37 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 69% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
69% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points.
Who holds it
37 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $32 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,246 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is iutwpfal, with $1.3K on it, $97K lifetime profit over 362 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $97
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$97 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,246 · noise$32+$255K lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$18+$27K lifetime
- 3thecaricature44% won of 717$11−$7.9K lifetime
- 4fledger88% won of 51 · balanced$11+$455 lifetime
- 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$7−$287K lifetime
No$2.4K on it
- 1iutwpfal53% won of 362 · whale$1.3K+$97K lifetime
- 2spxtest48% won of 763$480−$702 lifetime
- 3recallcp100% won of 11$312+$388 lifetime
- 4AppleVCD71% won of 17$112+$10 lifetime
- 50x844AC1AEe4dC203080e63e650E043A8aD8145f53-176555816908662% won of 202 · balanced$59+$886 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?"?
37 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $32 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,246 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is iutwpfal, with $1.3K on it, $97K lifetime profit over 362 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.