Who's betting on “Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.5K by 52 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 78% 32 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 18 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
78% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points.
Who holds it
52 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is KimchiCapital, with $261 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 514 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is iutwpfal, with $683 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 362 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $701
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $1.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$701 on it
- 1KimchiCapital76% won of 514 · balanced$261+$37K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$76+$255K lifetime
- 3JsonStatham45% won of 34,820$64−$32K lifetime
- 40x844AC1AEe4dC203080e63e650E043A8aD8145f53-176555816908662% won of 202 · balanced$50+$886 lifetime
- 50xa24d…7857100% won of 365 · balanced$45+$1.7K lifetime
No$1.8K on it
- 1iutwpfal53% won of 362 · whale$683+$97K lifetime
- 2recallcp100% won of 11$505+$388 lifetime
- 3BetterFish61% won of 740 · whale$326+$35K lifetime
- 4MikeNelson42056% won of 233$125−$1.2K lifetime
- 5rocky4202552% won of 1,067 · whale$39+$298 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?"?
52 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is KimchiCapital, with $261 on it, $37K lifetime profit over 514 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is iutwpfal, with $683 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 362 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.