Who's betting on “Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 62 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.6K by 80 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 96% 43 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 35% 37 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
96% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 68 points. A week ago, Yes by 54 points.
Who holds it
80 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 80 of them. The largest Yes holder is bleed1, with $1.0K on it, $2.4K lifetime profit over 7,690 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is TheWindKnowsmyName, with $18 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 490 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $5.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $41
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.5K on it
- 1bleed180% won of 7,690 · whale$1.0K+$2.4K lifetime
- 20x241F...e15a71% won of 268 · whale$832+$1.6K lifetime
- 3X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$694+$38K lifetime
- 4Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$665+$104K lifetime
- 50xA2770432A5E6Bd24c347c976b0D815db1f2C1182-176094584678764% won of 171 · balanced$417+$10K lifetime
No$41 on it
- 1TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 490$18−$52K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$6+$255K lifetime
- 3tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$3−$217K lifetime
- 4pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$2−$320K lifetime
- 573f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.95% won of 698 · grinder$2+$1.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
1 moreOther big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?"?
80 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 80 of them. The largest Yes holder is bleed1, with $1.0K on it, $2.4K lifetime profit over 7,690 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is TheWindKnowsmyName, with $18 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 490 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
96% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 68 points. A week ago, Yes by 54 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.