Who's betting on “Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 59 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $196 by 45 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 26% 7 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 59 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 56 points. A week ago, Yes by 72 points.
Who holds it
45 wallets hold a position worth $196 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $4 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is Hannah-Montana, with $92 on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 338 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $12
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 7
- Money on it
- $184
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$12 on it
- 1X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$4+$38K lifetime
- 2valentovastan67% won of 143 · balanced$2+$1.8K lifetime
- 3chaosj8877% won of 410 · whale$1+$22K lifetime
- 4sanduspace82% won of 1,100 · whale$1+$1.2K lifetime
- 5acal79% won of 520 · whale$1+$15K lifetime
No$184 on it
- 1Hannah-Montana64% won of 338$92−$7.8K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,227$40−$49K lifetime
- 3thekleenex61% won of 115 · balanced$38+$70 lifetime
- 4bbd113d45% won of 8,024 · balanced$10+$348 lifetime
- 50xca75…0a6421% won of 10,822$3−$42K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Third-best AI Lab end of October?
2 moreOther big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
45 wallets hold a position worth $196 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $4 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is Hannah-Montana, with $92 on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 338 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 26% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 59 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 56 points. A week ago, Yes by 72 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.