Who's betting on “Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 43 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $862 by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 84% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 41% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
84% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 38 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $862 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is molodoyy, with $27 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 643 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is KiruaTrading, with $308 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 501 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $108
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $754
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$108 on it
- 1molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$27+$46K lifetime
- 2balthazar53% won of 52,451 · whale$18+$1.2M lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,247 · noise$16+$255K lifetime
- 4planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$13+$132K lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$7−$217K lifetime
No$754 on it
- 1KiruaTrading64% won of 501 · whale$308+$21K lifetime
- 2shangqian34% won of 137$307−$1.6K lifetime
- 3pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$56−$320K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,227$38−$49K lifetime
- 5sanlitou2026p1100% won of 444$21−$52 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Third-best AI Lab end of October?
2 moreOther big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $862 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is molodoyy, with $27 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 643 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is KiruaTrading, with $308 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 501 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 38 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.