Who's betting on “Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $44K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.0K by 100 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 56% 65 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 35 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
56% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.
Who holds it
100 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $38 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $2.1K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 65
- Money on it
- $136
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$136 on it
- 1X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$38+$38K lifetime
- 2Investnow39% won of 343$21−$66K lifetime
- 3tradetosurvive145% won of 25,230$12−$217K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$12+$255K lifetime
- 5Bodytobody14% won of 464$9−$192K lifetime
No$2.9K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$2.1K+$203K lifetime
- 2lissartter56% won of 2,997$275−$287K lifetime
- 3pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$116−$320K lifetime
- 4HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$66+$325K lifetime
- 50xc25074089e41E0C579770242429d7f0c3FFF4Faf-177756583033959% won of 170$53−$494 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
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- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
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- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
100 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $38 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $2.1K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.