Who's betting on “Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.8K by 77 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 57% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 45 points. A week ago, Yes by 44 points.
Who holds it
77 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 76 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $920 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $30 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,234 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $3.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $119
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.7K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$920+$203K lifetime
- 2X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$879+$38K lifetime
- 3Bersa120270% won of 124$612−$3.4K lifetime
- 4lamyk59% won of 320 · balanced$353+$20K lifetime
- 5X-Rabbit.Sezu66% won of 443 · whale$244+$35K lifetime
No$119 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$30+$254K lifetime
- 2lissartter56% won of 2,997$20−$287K lifetime
- 3nonkenny9092% won of 1,453 · whale$13+$80K lifetime
- 4rocky4200152% won of 809 · whale$12+$925 lifetime
- 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$7−$320K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
1 moreOther big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
77 wallets hold a position worth $3.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 76 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $920 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $30 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,234 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 45 points. A week ago, Yes by 44 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.