Who's betting on “Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.6K by 137 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 76 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 61 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 46¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points.
Who holds it
137 wallets hold a position worth $4.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 137 of them. The largest Yes holder is theta-thunberg, with $515 on it, $66K lifetime profit over 1,095 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is SuperTests, with $987 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 1,676 markets (52% won).
- Holders
- 76
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.1K on it
- 1theta-thunberg56% won of 1,095 · whale$515+$66K lifetime
- 2cambridgeisaac57% won of 1,129 · whale$386+$67K lifetime
- 3outcomes42% won of 234 · noise$227+$15K lifetime
- 4JsonStatham45% won of 34,820$182−$32K lifetime
- 56idontknow12345133463% won of 131 · balanced$181+$16K lifetime
No$2.5K on it
- 1SuperTests52% won of 1,676 · balanced$987+$15K lifetime
- 2Started-with-20-USD55% won of 571 · whale$737+$54K lifetime
- 3enrico-vasaio65% won of 1,070 · whale$154+$23K lifetime
- 4timeistmoney53% won of 679 · balanced$128+$1.6K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$108+$255K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
2 moreOther big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?"?
137 wallets hold a position worth $4.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 137 of them. The largest Yes holder is theta-thunberg, with $515 on it, $66K lifetime profit over 1,095 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is SuperTests, with $987 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 1,676 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 46¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.