Who's betting on “Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 79% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 29 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $877 by 52 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 16 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 21 points.
Who holds it
52 wallets hold a position worth $877 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is SuperTests, with $355 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 1,676 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $13 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $836
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $41
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$836 on it
- 1SuperTests52% won of 1,676 · balanced$355+$15K lifetime
- 2tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$331−$217K lifetime
- 3timeistmoney53% won of 679 · balanced$44+$1.6K lifetime
- 4ghinseeker80% won of 228$19−$74 lifetime
- 5Tallguy252747% won of 24,248$19−$24K lifetime
No$41 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$13+$255K lifetime
- 20xa169…1b7350% won of 1,505 · balanced$9+$6.6K lifetime
- 3chessplayer70% won of 1,380$2−$17K lifetime
- 42sam33% won of 401$2−$829 lifetime
- 5PPMT70% won of 56,626 · whale$1+$16K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
2 moreOther big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?"?
52 wallets hold a position worth $877 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is SuperTests, with $355 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 1,676 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $13 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points. A week ago, No by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.