Who's betting on “Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.3K by 74 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 32 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 78% 42 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 36¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
Who holds it
74 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 74 of them. The largest Yes holder is SuperTests, with $954 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 1,676 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is Started-with-20-USD, with $593 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 571 markets (55% won).
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $2.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.1K on it
- 1SuperTests52% won of 1,676 · balanced$954+$15K lifetime
- 2timeistmoney53% won of 679 · balanced$201+$1.6K lifetime
- 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$124−$485K lifetime
- 4CodBeaver58% won of 236$120−$985 lifetime
- 50xCF845ry4574EDl547fe13dfD1b9De3763B81C0a574% won of 111 · balanced$104+$271 lifetime
No$1.2K on it
- 1Started-with-20-USD55% won of 571 · whale$593+$54K lifetime
- 2enrico-vasaio65% won of 1,070 · whale$195+$23K lifetime
- 3tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$47−$217K lifetime
- 4K80PRO56% won of 901$39−$577 lifetime
- 50xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-178705804843855% won of 2,352$38−$2.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
2 moreOther big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?"?
74 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 74 of them. The largest Yes holder is SuperTests, with $954 on it, $15K lifetime profit over 1,676 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is Started-with-20-USD, with $593 on it, $54K lifetime profit over 571 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 36¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.