Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 58 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $468 by 41 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 42% 34 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 7 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
The smart money
42% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 55 points.
Who holds it
41 wallets hold a position worth $468 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hyperlong, with $69 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is 0x8931…a90c, with $215 on it, $29K lifetime profit over 609 markets (95% won).
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $153
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 7
- Money on it
- $315
- Holders' win rate
- 94%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$153 on it
- 1Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$69−$59K lifetime
- 20xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$30+$91K lifetime
- 3Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$9+$801K lifetime
- 4marksman46% won of 940 · whale$9+$21K lifetime
- 5eNakeVets53% won of 1,031$8−$63K lifetime
No$315 on it
- 10x8931…a90c95% won of 609 · whale$215+$29K lifetime
- 2Mithrandir.90% won of 556 · whale$99+$11K lifetime
- 3exboyfriendjustsentit62% won of 772$0−$4.2K lifetime
- 4txvnbxas17% won of 155$0−$88 lifetime
- 50x1a1d…0b663% won of 128$0−$11 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in #1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
4 more- Erling Haaland$101K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Donald Trump$78K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Bad Bunny$33K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: No
- Lindsay Clancy$27K vol.Yes 25%No 75%Smart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?"?
41 wallets hold a position worth $468 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 41 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hyperlong, with $69 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is 0x8931…a90c, with $215 on it, $29K lifetime profit over 609 markets (95% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
42% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 55 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.