Who's betting on “Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $78K traded all time
- Held now
- $18K by 144 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 82 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 62 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $78K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
Who holds it
144 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 144 of them. The largest Yes holder is Sammybolung, with $697 on it, $13K lifetime profit over 113 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is 0x8931…a90c, with $3.7K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 609 markets (95% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $468 on No.
- Holders
- 82
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
- Snipers
- 1 · $468
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.4K on it
- 1Sammybolung75% won of 113 · whale$697+$13K lifetime
- 2cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$268+$72K lifetime
- 3sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$145+$11K lifetime
- 4robertoo86% won of 146 · balanced$130+$598 lifetime
- 5PainterofAustria148843% won of 96$126−$789 lifetime
No$16K on it
- 10x8931…a90c95% won of 609 · whale$3.7K+$29K lifetime
- 2MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$3.1K+$38K lifetime
- 3allenzzz73% won of 236 · whale$3.0K+$64K lifetime
- 4Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$837+$1.5M lifetime
- 5Immaterial-Advantage70% won of 618 · whale$822+$5.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in #1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
4 more- Erling Haaland$101K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Bad Bunny$33K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: No
- Lindsay Clancy$27K vol.Yes 25%No 75%Smart money: Yes
- Elon Musk$19K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?"?
144 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 144 of them. The largest Yes holder is Sammybolung, with $697 on it, $13K lifetime profit over 113 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is 0x8931…a90c, with $3.7K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 609 markets (95% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $78K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.