Who's betting on “Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $125K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.4K by 52 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 60% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $125K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
Who holds it
52 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is HerrieDavis, with $238 on it, $325K lifetime profit over 2,687 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is 0x49F206, with $977 on it, $41K lifetime loss over 862 markets (62% won).
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $739
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$739 on it
- 1HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$238+$325K lifetime
- 20x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$197−$8.4K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$96+$255K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$57+$334K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$50−$377K lifetime
No$2.7K on it
- 10x49F20662% won of 862$977−$41K lifetime
- 20x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675480% won of 10$947+$7.5K lifetime
- 3China-Eastern54% won of 28 · noise$547+$89 lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,840 · noise$64+$27K lifetime
- 5webot-ai56% won of 36$64−$503 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
9 more- Baidu$99K vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: No
- BYD$98K vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: No
- Hesai$76K vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: Yes
- CXMT$74K vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- Alibaba$64K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Tencent$47K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- YMTC$39K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- DJI$33K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: No
- Unitree$20K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?"?
52 wallets hold a position worth $3.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 52 of them. The largest Yes holder is HerrieDavis, with $238 on it, $325K lifetime profit over 2,687 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is 0x49F206, with $977 on it, $41K lifetime loss over 862 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $125K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.