Who's betting on “Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $64K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.3K by 61 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $64K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.
Who holds it
61 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x91784d82fbe4543459ee85fc9809be185d70a2b, with $126 on it, $43K lifetime profit over 378 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is FrozenParasite, with $1.3K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.3K on No.
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $419
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1.3K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$419 on it
- 10x91784d82fbe4543459ee85fc9809be185d70a2b39% won of 378 · noise$126+$43K lifetime
- 2rocky4200254% won of 951 · whale$79+$8.1K lifetime
- 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$72+$334K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$40+$254K lifetime
- 5PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$19+$56K lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$1.3K+$244K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$179−$377K lifetime
- 3from0054% won of 56$104−$1.4K lifetime
- 40xc24f…220b52% won of 361 · balanced$99+$436 lifetime
- 5webot-ai56% won of 36$93−$503 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
9 more- CATL$125K vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money split
- Baidu$99K vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: No
- BYD$98K vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: No
- Hesai$76K vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: Yes
- CXMT$74K vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- Tencent$47K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- YMTC$39K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- DJI$33K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: No
- Unitree$20K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?"?
61 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x91784d82fbe4543459ee85fc9809be185d70a2b, with $126 on it, $43K lifetime profit over 378 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is FrozenParasite, with $1.3K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $64K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.