Who's betting on “Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $99K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.7K by 40 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $99K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.
Who holds it
40 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758, with $104 on it, $8.4K lifetime loss over 827 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is FrozenParasite, with $1.5K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.5K on No.
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $425
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1.5K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$425 on it
- 10x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$104−$8.4K lifetime
- 2HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$104+$325K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$53−$377K lifetime
- 4rocky4200254% won of 956 · whale$46+$8.1K lifetime
- 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$25−$485K lifetime
No$2.3K on it
- 1FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$1.5K+$244K lifetime
- 2MaxEnt41% won of 365 · noise$463+$816 lifetime
- 3from0054% won of 56$99−$1.4K lifetime
- 40xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$79+$91K lifetime
- 5ghorrock64% won of 33,391 · whale$46+$7.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
9 more- CATL$125K vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money split
- BYD$98K vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: No
- Hesai$76K vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: Yes
- CXMT$74K vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- Alibaba$64K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Tencent$47K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- YMTC$39K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- DJI$33K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: No
- Unitree$20K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?"?
40 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758, with $104 on it, $8.4K lifetime loss over 827 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is FrozenParasite, with $1.5K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $99K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.