Who's betting on “Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?”?
Politics · $236K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $236K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
85% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
167 wallets hold a position worth $44K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 167 of them. The largest Yes holder is denizz, with $1.6K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,006 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is hopedieslast, with $7.7K on it, $260K lifetime profit over 233 markets (61% won).
- Smart money share
- 85%
- Holders
- 87
- Money on it
- $6.4K
- Holders' winrate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 66%
- Holders
- 80
- Money on it
- $38K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| denizzwhale | $1.6K | +$2.3M | 66% of 1,006 |
| Valen9whale | $1.4K | +$233K | 62% of 895 |
| betwickwhale | $1.3K | +$636K | 56% of 767 |
| 131071 | $702 | -$26K | 20% of 71 |
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495noise | $333 | +$318K | 22% of 11,530 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| hopedieslastwhale | $7.7K | +$260K | 61% of 233 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBillywhale | $7.2K | +$306K | 44% of 3,734 |
| anoin123 | $6.5K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| paddaawhale | $4.1K | +$283K | 58% of 1,436 |
| MonacoLover | $3.7K | -$49K | 67% of 114 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
- Iran Reconstruction Funding$342K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
- ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)$272K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: No
- Dilution of Iran's Uranium$203K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium$188K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: Yes
- Enriched Uranium Surrender$101K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?"?
167 wallets hold a position worth $44K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 167 of them. The largest Yes holder is denizz, with $1.6K on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,006 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is hopedieslast, with $7.7K on it, $260K lifetime profit over 233 markets (61% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $236K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.