Who's betting on “Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 64% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 51 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.5K by 56 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 12% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 64% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
12% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points. A week ago, No by 54 points.
Who holds it
56 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is wavesinthesky, with $244 on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 296 markets (20% won). The largest No holder is Rr55, with $894 on it, $39K lifetime profit over 1,222 markets (72% won).
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $343
- Holders' win rate
- 27%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $2.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$343 on it
- 1wavesinthesky20% won of 296$244−$1.7K lifetime
- 2tnl53% won of 1,112 · whale$14+$21K lifetime
- 3doddo1216% won of 343$13−$950 lifetime
- 4Numitus199449% won of 15,720$11−$28K lifetime
- 5Fihdrzgdd40% won of 3,576$11−$20K lifetime
No$2.2K on it
- 1Rr5572% won of 1,222 · whale$894+$39K lifetime
- 2nelsonc1970% won of 269$425−$275 lifetime
- 3molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$280+$46K lifetime
- 4mewmew164% won of 1,151$278−$16K lifetime
- 5Mithrandir.90% won of 556 · whale$81+$11K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?"?
56 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is wavesinthesky, with $244 on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 296 markets (20% won). The largest No holder is Rr55, with $894 on it, $39K lifetime profit over 1,222 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
12% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points. A week ago, No by 54 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.