Who's betting on “Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 51% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $67K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.7K by 106 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 27% 55 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 51% 51 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $67K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
27% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 44 points.
Who holds it
106 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 106 of them. The largest Yes holder is Investnow, with $506 on it, $66K lifetime loss over 343 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is nelsonc19, with $2.0K on it, $275 lifetime loss over 269 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $5.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.4K on it
- 1Investnow39% won of 343$506−$66K lifetime
- 2arbandy73% won of 217$263−$166K lifetime
- 3i.love.Frieren43% won of 96 · noise$84+$4.0K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$84+$255K lifetime
- 5WarriorH42% won of 42,762 · whale$55+$146K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?"?
106 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 106 of them. The largest Yes holder is Investnow, with $506 on it, $66K lifetime loss over 343 markets (39% won). The largest No holder is nelsonc19, with $2.0K on it, $275 lifetime loss over 269 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $67K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
27% of the money on Yes and 51% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points. A week ago, No by 44 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.