Who's betting on “Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $77K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.4K by 82 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 97% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 55 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 62¢ and No at 38¢, a 62% implied chance of Yes. $77K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
97% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
82 wallets hold a position worth $8.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is BrownBees, with $2.4K on it, $69K lifetime profit over 130 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is Djibooty, with $701 on it, $1.7K lifetime profit over 236 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $5.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $3.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.2K on it
- 1BrownBees69% won of 130 · whale$2.4K+$69K lifetime
- 2DualDelta34% won of 208 · noise$1.2K+$41K lifetime
- 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$1.2K+$334K lifetime
- 4ProfitMuhammedPBUH84% won of 207$88−$22K lifetime
- 5HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$83+$325K lifetime
No$3.2K on it
- 1Djibooty53% won of 236 · whale$701+$1.7K lifetime
- 2Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$614+$104K lifetime
- 3pieped59% won of 206 · whale$460+$15K lifetime
- 4The-Joker64% won of 1,333 · whale$353+$145K lifetime
- 5nonkenny9092% won of 1,453 · whale$219+$80K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?"?
82 wallets hold a position worth $8.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is BrownBees, with $2.4K on it, $69K lifetime profit over 130 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is Djibooty, with $701 on it, $1.7K lifetime profit over 236 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 62¢ and No at 38¢, a 62% implied chance of Yes. $77K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
97% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.