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Who's betting on “Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?”?

Tech$17K traded62 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 16, 2026
20%Yes
80%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$17K
traded all time
Held now
$3.5K
by 62 wallets
Smart share · Yes
81%
31 scored holders
Smart share · No
88%
31 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

81% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.

Who holds it

62 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them.

Yes20%
Smart money share81%
7 days ago 81%a day ago 80%now 81%
Holders
31
Money on it
$693
Holders' win rate
48%
No80%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share88% ▲ 20 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 88%a day ago 68%now 88%
Holders
31
Money on it
$2.8K
Holders' win rate
65%
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?"?

62 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

81% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.