Who's betting on “Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.2K by 48 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.
Who holds it
48 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is molodoyy, with $109 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 643 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is weird-fishes, with $385 on it, $14 lifetime profit over 187 markets (63% won).
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $281
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$281 on it
- 1molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$109+$46K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$27+$254K lifetime
- 3panflash88% won of 41 · balanced$26+$2.9K lifetime
- 4folioquant89% won of 219$26−$2.4K lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,346$21−$217K lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1weird-fishes63% won of 187 · balanced$385+$14 lifetime
- 2ZorroDeLaVega64% won of 123 · balanced$366+$16K lifetime
- 3cambridgeisaac57% won of 1,129 · whale$350+$66K lifetime
- 4mikethewhale81% won of 21 · balanced$219+$13K lifetime
- 5KolmogorovDoob67% won of 203$130−$13 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is molodoyy, with $109 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 643 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is weird-fishes, with $385 on it, $14 lifetime profit over 187 markets (63% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.