Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?”?

Tech$16K traded57 holdersEnds July 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
13%Yes
87%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$16K
traded all time
Held now
$4.2K
by 57 wallets
Smart share · Yes
59%
36 scored holders
Smart share · No
93%
21 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.

The smart money

59% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 38 points. A week ago, No by 66 points.

Who holds it

57 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is tinman2, with $229 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 401 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is TheKinginYellow, with $1.6K on it, $10K lifetime profit over 235 markets (61% won).

Yes13%
Smart money share59% ▲ 3 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 32%a day ago 56%now 59%
Holders
36
Money on it
$551
Holders' win rate
64%
No87%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share93%
7 days ago 98%a day ago 93%now 93%
Holders
21
Money on it
$3.7K
Holders' win rate
55%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$551 on it

  1. 1tinman279% won of 401 · whale$229+$14K lifetime
  2. 2lacuna-m155% won of 84$47−$6.6K lifetime
  3. 3CARXE78% won of 254$45−$40 lifetime
  4. 4lumao00240% won of 88$39−$613 lifetime
  5. 5rocky4201452% won of 1,103 · whale$34+$6.2K lifetime

No$3.7K on it

  1. 1TheKinginYellow61% won of 235 · whale$1.6K+$10K lifetime
  2. 2ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$870+$313K lifetime
  3. 30xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$686+$91K lifetime
  4. 4winnnar83% won of 46 · balanced$109+$3.7K lifetime
  5. 5sasha58571% won of 301 · balanced$109+$2.2K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?"?

57 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is tinman2, with $229 on it, $14K lifetime profit over 401 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is TheKinginYellow, with $1.6K on it, $10K lifetime profit over 235 markets (61% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

59% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 38 points. A week ago, No by 66 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.