Who's betting on “SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.4K by 57 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 45% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 49% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
45% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points.
Who holds it
57 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $78 on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is HerrieDavis, with $324 on it, $325K lifetime profit over 2,687 markets (63% won).
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $398
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $999
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$398 on it
- 1ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$78+$313K lifetime
- 2CARXE78% won of 254$76−$40 lifetime
- 3tinman279% won of 401 · whale$57+$14K lifetime
- 40x0e3d…52ab19% won of 392$27−$845 lifetime
- 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,725$25−$320K lifetime
No$999 on it
- 1HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$324+$325K lifetime
- 20x49F20662% won of 862$213−$41K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$141+$254K lifetime
- 4pollution39% won of 203$74−$3.6K lifetime
- 5SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$57−$9.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?
1 moreOther big tech markets
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- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 39%No 61%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $78 on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is HerrieDavis, with $324 on it, $325K lifetime profit over 2,687 markets (63% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
45% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.