Who's betting on “Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $35K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.5K by 62 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 63% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
63% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.
Who holds it
62 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is spartafishing, with $64 on it, $1.9K lifetime profit over 501 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is enrico-vasaio, with $676 on it, $23K lifetime profit over 1,070 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $205
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$205 on it
- 1spartafishing52% won of 501 · whale$64+$1.9K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$32+$254K lifetime
- 3Wachufleiba8828% won of 262$18−$234 lifetime
- 4Schatzmat8453% won of 207 · balanced$15+$577 lifetime
- 5asd5655% won of 147$14−$1.0K lifetime
No$1.3K on it
- 1enrico-vasaio65% won of 1,070 · whale$676+$23K lifetime
- 2AllByMyseIf86% won of 1,040 · whale$288+$573K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,306$66−$51K lifetime
- 4Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$64+$560 lifetime
- 5hping0263% won of 393 · balanced$54+$66 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
2 more- December 31, 2027$165K vol.Yes 64%No 37%Smart money: Yes
- September 30, 2027$18K vol.Yes 28%No 72%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 40%No 61%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?"?
62 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is spartafishing, with $64 on it, $1.9K lifetime profit over 501 markets (52% won). The largest No holder is enrico-vasaio, with $676 on it, $23K lifetime profit over 1,070 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.