Who's betting on “Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $165K traded all time
- Held now
- $19K by 106 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 76% 62 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 64¢ and No at 37¢, a 64% implied chance of Yes. $165K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
Who holds it
106 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 106 of them. The largest Yes holder is Brokie, with $9.5K on it, $183K lifetime profit over 907 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is AllByMyseIf, with $2.9K on it, $573K lifetime profit over 1,040 markets (86% won).
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $6.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$12K on it
- 1Brokie59% won of 907 · whale$9.5K+$183K lifetime
- 2Mecky50% won of 426 · whale$635+$89K lifetime
- 30x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F27% won of 15,727$263−$81K lifetime
- 40x14a1…99122% won of 2,906$262−$15K lifetime
- 50x9e24bD0ebC6A423C43cf600E7bF1170A867B7e71-177563255369980% won of 1,156 · balanced$217+$1.7K lifetime
No$6.8K on it
- 1AllByMyseIf86% won of 1,040 · whale$2.9K+$573K lifetime
- 20x49F20662% won of 862$915−$41K lifetime
- 3cocococococo54% won of 1,420 · whale$406+$107K lifetime
- 4SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$328+$203K lifetime
- 5spartafishing52% won of 501 · whale$264+$1.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
2 more- June 30, 2027$35K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- September 30, 2027$18K vol.Yes 28%No 72%Smart money: No
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?"?
106 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 106 of them. The largest Yes holder is Brokie, with $9.5K on it, $183K lifetime profit over 907 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is AllByMyseIf, with $2.9K on it, $573K lifetime profit over 1,040 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 64¢ and No at 37¢, a 64% implied chance of Yes. $165K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.