Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?”?

Tech$21K traded50 holdersEnds July 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
30%Yes
70%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$21K
traded all time
Held now
$2.8K
by 50 wallets
Smart share · Yes
78%
27 scored holders
Smart share · No
77%
23 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 70¢, a 70% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.

The smart money

78% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points.

Who holds it

50 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is Optimus-, with $223 on it, $121K lifetime profit over 330 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is pkz, with $677 on it, $67K lifetime profit over 1,047 markets (63% won).

Yes30%
Smart money share78% ▲ 17 pts in 24 h
a day ago 61%now 78%
Holders
27
Money on it
$855
Holders' win rate
60%
No70%
Smart money share77% ▲ 9 pts in 24 h
a day ago 68%now 77%
Holders
23
Money on it
$2.0K
Holders' win rate
61%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$855 on it

  1. 1Optimus-55% won of 330 · whale$223+$121K lifetime
  2. 20x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675485% won of 13$203+$8.7K lifetime
  3. 3variant1.meta65% won of 248 · balanced$105+$5.8K lifetime
  4. 4rocky4201056% won of 658 · whale$50+$14K lifetime
  5. 5GuyFromTinder37% won of 22,344$44−$89K lifetime

No$2.0K on it

  1. 1pkz63% won of 1,047 · whale$677+$67K lifetime
  2. 2StarMaster54% won of 944 · whale$630+$98K lifetime
  3. 3ProvidingExitLiq85% won of 142$166−$346 lifetime
  4. 4tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$140+$973K lifetime
  5. 5RayGuy91% won of 22 · balanced$88+$5.4K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?"?

50 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is Optimus-, with $223 on it, $121K lifetime profit over 330 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is pkz, with $677 on it, $67K lifetime profit over 1,047 markets (63% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 30¢ and No at 70¢, a 70% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

78% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.