Who's betting on “Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.7K by 32 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 18 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points.
Who holds it
32 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 31 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $39 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,246 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $573 on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won).
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $78
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$78 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,246 · noise$39+$255K lifetime
- 2fledger88% won of 51 · balanced$15+$455 lifetime
- 3rocky4201056% won of 658 · whale$5+$14K lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$4−$485K lifetime
- 5Flobodan40% won of 378 · noise$3+$5.0K lifetime
No$1.7K on it
- 1ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$573+$313K lifetime
- 2tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$478+$973K lifetime
- 30x49F20662% won of 862$391−$41K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$63+$27K lifetime
- 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$63−$287K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by December 31, 2026?"?
32 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 31 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $39 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,246 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $573 on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.