Who's betting on “Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 40 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.9K by 50 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 33 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 62 points.
Who holds it
50 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is solgladiator, with $2 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is QMG-CORE, with $4.5K on it, $57K lifetime profit over 1,224 markets (73% won).
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $9
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $5.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$9 on it
- 1solgladiatorno record yet$2+$0 lifetime
- 2Andori71% won of 2,182$1−$13K lifetime
- 3molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$1+$46K lifetime
- 4Huye16866% won of 1,136 · whale$1+$1.1K lifetime
- 5Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,088 · whale$1+$104K lifetime
No$5.9K on it
- 1QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$4.5K+$57K lifetime
- 2endoption100% won of 205 · grinder$775+$68 lifetime
- 3li547868596% won of 223 · grinder$310+$240 lifetime
- 4Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$213+$560 lifetime
- 5zk198475% won of 218 · balanced$50+$6.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Kimi K4 released by…?
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Questions
Who is betting on "Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?"?
50 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is solgladiator, with $2 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is QMG-CORE, with $4.5K on it, $57K lifetime profit over 1,224 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 62 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.