Who's betting on “Spread: Minnesota (-2.5)”?
Sports · $5.6K volume · Ends October 24, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Minnesota at 25¢ and Iowa at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of Iowa. $5.6K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
98% of the money on Minnesota and 89% of the money on Iowa is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Minnesota, by 9 points.
23 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 23 of them. The largest Minnesota holder is RN1, with $964 on it, $13M lifetime profit over 30,971 markets (60% won). The largest Iowa holder is ferdinand2, with $1.7K on it, $92K lifetime profit over 10,314 markets (47% won).
- Smart money share
- 98%
- Holders
- 8
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' winrate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 89%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $4.4K
- Holders' winrate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| RN1whale | $964 | +$13M | 60% of 30,971 |
| 38791873984189whale | $345 | +$204K | 45% of 73,841 |
| Pan9Xwhale | $72 | +$16K | 59% of 25,403 |
| ferrariChampions2026whale | $28 | +$2.5M | 57% of 23,750 |
| NotJump | $25 | -$6.1K | 46% of 37,321 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| ferdinand2whale | $1.7K | +$92K | 47% of 10,314 |
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $1.7K | +$2.9M | 56% of 18,127 |
| analdesutructor | $278 | -$107K | 77% of 215 |
| justaluckydudewhale | $184 | +$1.4M | 62% of 10,942 |
| antecwhale | $164 | +$141K | 58% of 43,455 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Iowa vs. Minnesota
- Spread -7.5$351K vol.Iowa 8%Minnesota 92%Smart money: Iowa
- Iowa vs. Minnesota$69K vol.Iowa 71%Minnesota 30%Smart money: Minnesota
- Spread -5.5$30K vol.Iowa 26%Minnesota 74%Smart money: Iowa
- Spread -6.5$21K vol.Iowa 18%Minnesota 82%Smart money: Iowa
- Spread -8.5$4.8K vol.Iowa 13%Minnesota 88%Smart money: Minnesota
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Minnesota (-2.5)"?
23 wallets hold a position worth $5.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 23 of them. The largest Minnesota holder is RN1, with $964 on it, $13M lifetime profit over 30,971 markets (60% won). The largest Iowa holder is ferdinand2, with $1.7K on it, $92K lifetime profit over 10,314 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Minnesota (-2.5)"?
Polymarket prices Minnesota at 25¢ and Iowa at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of Iowa. $5.6K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
98% of the money on Minnesota and 89% of the money on Iowa is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Minnesota, by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 24, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.