Who's betting on “Spread: Iowa (-5.5)”?
Sports · $30K volume · Ends October 24, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Iowa at 13¢ and Minnesota at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of Minnesota. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
88% of the money on Iowa and 71% of the money on Minnesota is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Iowa, by 17 points.
44 wallets hold a position worth $30K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Iowa holder is HomeRunHazard, with $1.4K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 18,104 markets (56% won). The largest Minnesota holder is matanovik, with $18K on it, $44K lifetime profit over 423 markets (26% won).
- Smart money share
- 88%
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $3.7K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 71%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $26K
- Holders' winrate
- 32%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $1.4K | +$2.9M | 56% of 18,104 |
| VeryLucky888whale | $979 | +$438K | 60% of 50,868 |
| 0xa697d0b3FFf7D285a0F92d6Ee03a7f97809E59d5-1774326306031whale | $563 | +$377K | 51% of 11,747 |
| 0x5811c8AD5DC5990528357ecf1A6D03311D6c0976-1782550886071 | $243 | -$69K | 71% of 3,023 |
| ferrariChampions2026whale | $210 | +$2.5M | 57% of 23,722 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| matanoviknoise | $18K | +$44K | 26% of 423 |
| the.Hound | $4.2K | -$174K | 25% of 243 |
| metski29 | $2.6K | -$187K | 68% of 224 |
| analdesutructor | $761 | -$106K | 77% of 214 |
| bananananatooowhale | $93 | +$17K | 88% of 386 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Iowa vs. Minnesota
- Spread -7.5$351K vol.Iowa 5%Minnesota 96%Smart money: Iowa
- Iowa vs. Minnesota$41K vol.Iowa 36%Minnesota 65%Smart money: Minnesota
- Spread -6.5$21K vol.Iowa 11%Minnesota 90%Smart money: Iowa
- Spread -2.5$4.9K vol.Minnesota 61%Iowa 39%Smart money split
- Spread -8.5$4.8K vol.Iowa 23%Minnesota 77%Smart money: Minnesota
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Iowa (-5.5)"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $30K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Iowa holder is HomeRunHazard, with $1.4K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 18,104 markets (56% won). The largest Minnesota holder is matanovik, with $18K on it, $44K lifetime profit over 423 markets (26% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Iowa (-5.5)"?
Polymarket prices Iowa at 13¢ and Minnesota at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of Minnesota. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Iowa and 71% of the money on Minnesota is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Iowa, by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 24, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.