Who's betting on “Iowa vs. Minnesota”?
Sports · $41K volume · Ends October 24, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Iowa at 36¢ and Minnesota at 65¢, a 65% implied chance of Minnesota. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
65% of the money on Iowa and 76% of the money on Minnesota is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Minnesota, by 10 points.
137 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 136 of them. The largest Iowa holder is RN1, with $2.1K on it, $13M lifetime profit over 30,925 markets (60% won). The largest Minnesota holder is justaluckydude, with $2.5K on it, $1.4M lifetime profit over 10,917 markets (62% won).
- Smart money share
- 65%
- Holders
- 68
- Money on it
- $8.7K
- Holders' winrate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 76%
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' winrate
- 70%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| RN1whale | $2.1K | +$13M | 60% of 30,925 |
| 0x2BF0a88661BD539F937Dba47eB36E288b577728F-1772636201252 | $1.7K | -$45K | 89% of 220 |
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $1.0K | +$2.9M | 56% of 18,104 |
| mooseborzoiiwhale | $942 | +$1.8M | 72% of 1,724 |
| 0x430Df9Fc7525788F162804eba5ad009bA1ae3f6a-1771798789585 | $303 | +$195K | 24% of 21,550 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| justaluckydudewhale | $2.5K | +$1.4M | 62% of 10,917 |
| SunflowaRebuildYearbalanced | $2.1K | +$1.2K | 80% of 311 |
| 38791873984189whale | $1.8K | +$196K | 45% of 73,715 |
| danikpapik | $1.4K | +$648 | 100% of 5 |
| Lermo16032022 | $1000 | -$2.6K | 100% of 32 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Iowa vs. Minnesota"?
137 wallets hold a position worth $25K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 136 of them. The largest Iowa holder is RN1, with $2.1K on it, $13M lifetime profit over 30,925 markets (60% won). The largest Minnesota holder is justaluckydude, with $2.5K on it, $1.4M lifetime profit over 10,917 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Iowa vs. Minnesota"?
Polymarket prices Iowa at 36¢ and Minnesota at 65¢, a 65% implied chance of Minnesota. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
65% of the money on Iowa and 76% of the money on Minnesota is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Minnesota, by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 24, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.