Who's betting on “Spread: Iowa (-7.5)”?
Sports · $350K volume · Ends October 24, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Iowa at 28¢ and Minnesota at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of Minnesota. $350K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
93% of the money on Iowa and 75% of the money on Minnesota is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Iowa, by 17 points.
127 wallets hold a position worth $335K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 126 of them. The largest Iowa holder is mooseborzoii, with $79K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,715 markets (72% won). The largest Minnesota holder is chubbytoro, with $127K on it, $33K lifetime profit over 68 markets (100% won).
- Smart money share
- 93%
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $122K
- Holders' winrate
- 70%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 75%
- Holders
- 68
- Money on it
- $212K
- Holders' winrate
- 84%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| mooseborzoiiwhale | $79K | +$1.5M | 72% of 1,715 |
| Donkey14whale | $15K | +$34K | 75% of 539 |
| 0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c1ecD2c7B6860eeabAf-1722957908185 | $8.1K | -$4.9M | 50% of 1,468 |
| omnibus-076daawhale | $5.7K | +$3.4M | 72% of 14,279 |
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $4.0K | +$2.9M | 56% of 18,079 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| chubbytorowhale | $127K | +$33K | 100% of 68 |
| Pwaddler | $19K | -$605K | 62% of 969 |
| ic4creamwhale | $12K | +$552K | 90% of 1,510 |
| bands1 | $8.3K | -$553K | 50% of 833 |
| ferrariChampions2026whale | $8.0K | +$2.5M | 57% of 23,683 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Iowa vs. Minnesota
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$35M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.3M vol.Yes 71%No 29%Smart money: No
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.3M vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.8M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.8M vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Iowa (-7.5)"?
127 wallets hold a position worth $335K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 126 of them. The largest Iowa holder is mooseborzoii, with $79K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,715 markets (72% won). The largest Minnesota holder is chubbytoro, with $127K on it, $33K lifetime profit over 68 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Iowa (-7.5)"?
Polymarket prices Iowa at 28¢ and Minnesota at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of Minnesota. $350K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
93% of the money on Iowa and 75% of the money on Minnesota is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Iowa, by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 24, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.