Who's betting on “Spread: Iowa (-8.5)”?
Sports · $4.8K volume · Ends October 24, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Iowa at 23¢ and Minnesota at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of Minnesota. $4.8K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
9% of the money on Iowa and 93% of the money on Minnesota is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Minnesota, by 83 points. A day ago it leaned Minnesota, by 99 points.
19 wallets hold a position worth $4.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 19 of them. The largest Iowa holder is nigiri99, with $1.0K on it, $1.5M lifetime loss over 13,746 markets (46% won). The largest Minnesota holder is HomeRunHazard, with $3.1K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 18,104 markets (56% won).
- Smart money share
- 9% ▲ 8 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' winrate
- 48%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 93% ▼ 7 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 8
- Money on it
- $3.4K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| nigiri99 | $1.0K | -$1.5M | 46% of 13,746 |
| justaluckydudewhale | $53 | +$1.4M | 62% of 10,917 |
| LeLynxMalynxwhale | $20 | +$48K | 59% of 22,775 |
| mooseborzoiiwhale | $17 | +$1.8M | 72% of 1,724 |
| 0x842c…1871 | $12 | -$257 | 86% of 167 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $3.1K | +$2.9M | 56% of 18,104 |
| anon7b | $85 | -$398 | 92% of 325 |
| sdjkhgjkdhskjg | $84 | -$7.4K | 55% of 1,539 |
| 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflkswhale | $69 | +$8.8K | 83% of 2,192 |
| Moltenpick | $45 | -$1.0K | 94% of 339 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Iowa vs. Minnesota
- Spread -7.5$351K vol.Iowa 5%Minnesota 96%Smart money: Iowa
- Iowa vs. Minnesota$41K vol.Iowa 36%Minnesota 65%Smart money: Minnesota
- Spread -5.5$30K vol.Iowa 13%Minnesota 88%Smart money: Iowa
- Spread -6.5$21K vol.Iowa 11%Minnesota 90%Smart money: Iowa
- Spread -2.5$4.9K vol.Minnesota 61%Iowa 39%Smart money split
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Iowa (-8.5)"?
19 wallets hold a position worth $4.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 19 of them. The largest Iowa holder is nigiri99, with $1.0K on it, $1.5M lifetime loss over 13,746 markets (46% won). The largest Minnesota holder is HomeRunHazard, with $3.1K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 18,104 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Iowa (-8.5)"?
Polymarket prices Iowa at 23¢ and Minnesota at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of Minnesota. $4.8K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 24, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
9% of the money on Iowa and 93% of the money on Minnesota is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Minnesota, by 83 points. A day ago it leaned Minnesota, by 99 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 24, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.