Who's betting on “Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 50 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $126K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.4K by 42 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 21% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 71% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $126K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
21% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 47 points. A week ago, No by 55 points.
Who holds it
42 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x84828283773829, with $120 on it, $26K lifetime loss over 361 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is DEGENKHAN, with $2.1K on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,147 markets (74% won).
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $310
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $4.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$310 on it
- 10x8482828377382938% won of 361$120−$26K lifetime
- 2Digital-Boy16% won of 2,232$44−$78K lifetime
- 3Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$31+$801K lifetime
- 4Numitus199449% won of 15,786$29−$28K lifetime
- 5onyxt66% won of 159 · balanced$19+$223 lifetime
No$4.1K on it
- 1DEGENKHAN74% won of 1,147 · whale$2.1K+$104K lifetime
- 2mikekb100% won of 2$989−$5 lifetime
- 3yen4u94% won of 1,418 · whale$357+$81K lifetime
- 4PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$191+$56K lifetime
- 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$123+$560 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Anthropic lab leak by...?
1 moreOther big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
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- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$889K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 40%No 61%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?"?
42 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x84828283773829, with $120 on it, $26K lifetime loss over 361 markets (38% won). The largest No holder is DEGENKHAN, with $2.1K on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,147 markets (74% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $126K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
21% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 47 points. A week ago, No by 55 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.