Who's betting on “Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.5K by 53 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 63% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
63% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 39 points.
Who holds it
53 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is Wojtek, with $22 on it, $55K lifetime profit over 229 markets (15% won). The largest No holder is recallcp, with $1.2K on it, $388 lifetime profit over 11 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $107
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 94%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$107 on it
- 1Wojtek15% won of 229 · noise$22+$55K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$17+$255K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$10−$377K lifetime
- 4molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$7+$46K lifetime
- 5X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$6+$38K lifetime
No$1.4K on it
- 1recallcp100% won of 11$1.2K+$388 lifetime
- 2flywheelpoly68% won of 543$96−$6.3K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,151$87−$48K lifetime
- 42B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$7+$97K lifetime
- 5Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,906 · whale$6+$163K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
2 moreOther big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?"?
53 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is Wojtek, with $22 on it, $55K lifetime profit over 229 markets (15% won). The largest No holder is recallcp, with $1.2K on it, $388 lifetime profit over 11 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 39 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.