Who's betting on “Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.3K by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 58% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 56% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 37¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
58% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is ToTheWindow, with $657 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 441 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $185 on it, $163K lifetime profit over 15,906 markets (56% won).
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $730
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.5K on it
- 1ToTheWindow55% won of 441 · whale$657+$36K lifetime
- 2N.sam39% won of 244$607−$369 lifetime
- 32B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$102+$97K lifetime
- 4Prof.Money-Exterminator48% won of 225 · balanced$53+$28 lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$34+$334K lifetime
No$730 on it
- 1Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,906 · whale$185+$163K lifetime
- 2ZeroWallet56% won of 426 · balanced$142+$2.8K lifetime
- 30xmors61% won of 23$132−$134 lifetime
- 4pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$64−$320K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$52+$255K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2 moreOther big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is ToTheWindow, with $657 on it, $36K lifetime profit over 441 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $185 on it, $163K lifetime profit over 15,906 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 37¢ and No at 63¢, a 63% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
58% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.