Who's betting on “Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 75 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $43K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.6K by 112 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 64 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 12% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 12% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 75 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 77 points. A week ago, Yes by 74 points.
Who holds it
112 wallets hold a position worth $4.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 112 of them.
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $498
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $4.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2 moreOther big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?"?
112 wallets hold a position worth $4.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 112 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 12% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 75 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 77 points. A week ago, Yes by 74 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.