Who's betting on “Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 19 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $48K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.1K by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 54% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 73% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
54% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 21 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is Perypery, with $23 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 473 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is dpnd, with $2.4K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 240 markets (39% won).
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $108
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $4.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$108 on it
- 1Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$23+$44K lifetime
- 2Bozo3no record yet$13+$0 lifetime
- 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$11−$485K lifetime
- 4maybebrian69% won of 75 · balanced$9+$1.7K lifetime
- 5Optimus-55% won of 330 · whale$7+$121K lifetime
No$4.0K on it
- 1dpnd39% won of 240 · noise$2.4K+$29K lifetime
- 2boryamba65% won of 23$813−$1.8K lifetime
- 30x687d8cF19d873aED1957E61a3f2092D4721Ce28B-176395727529254% won of 304 · balanced$198+$6.0K lifetime
- 4Bitgod41% won of 1,258 · noise$159+$60K lifetime
- 5userxp51% won of 228$97−$1.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $4.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is Perypery, with $23 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 473 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is dpnd, with $2.4K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 240 markets (39% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
54% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 19 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.