Who's betting on “Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $27K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.8K by 83 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 60 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
83 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is troim, with $128 on it, $90K lifetime profit over 819 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is 0x38d5…063c, with $289 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 808 markets (72% won).
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $522
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$522 on it
- 1troim66% won of 819 · whale$128+$90K lifetime
- 2Gohst47% won of 1,056 · whale$103+$298K lifetime
- 3planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$34+$132K lifetime
- 4Rotem161649% won of 206$32−$4.1K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$29+$254K lifetime
No$1.3K on it
- 10x38d5…063c72% won of 808 · balanced$289+$12K lifetime
- 2Betttttttttnn100% won of 7$265+$30 lifetime
- 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$120+$335K lifetime
- 40x6bd2671189761274417e66D1F6a834ecdBb695f6-176199515622193% won of 385 · balanced$106+$3.3K lifetime
- 5drvbhiop100% won of 14$84+$5 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
7 more- 10k-25k$119K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 101-1k$42K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- 1-100$20K vol.Yes 64%No 36%Smart money: Yes
- 5k-10k$16K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 25k-100k$14K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 2.5k-5k$12K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- 1k-2.5k$12K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?"?
83 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is troim, with $128 on it, $90K lifetime profit over 819 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is 0x38d5…063c, with $289 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 808 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.