Who's betting on “Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $675 by 75 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 61 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 14 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
Who holds it
75 wallets hold a position worth $675 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is FortunatelyFestive, with $110 on it, $67K lifetime profit over 197 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is 0x38d5…063c, with $16 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 808 markets (72% won).
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $627
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $48
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$627 on it
- 1FortunatelyFestive85% won of 197 · whale$110+$67K lifetime
- 20xc7e8…b56096% won of 55 · grinder$69+$490 lifetime
- 3awgraewrfa100% won of 5$49−$189 lifetime
- 40x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934100% won of 133$33+$206 lifetime
- 5S88872% won of 375 · whale$25+$14K lifetime
No$48 on it
- 10x38d5…063c72% won of 808 · balanced$16+$12K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,298$16−$52K lifetime
- 3casio3664% won of 166 · balanced$13+$224 lifetime
- 415rob46% won of 251 · whale$2+$3.2K lifetime
- 509F911029D7486% won of 632 · whale$1+$14K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
7 more- 10k-25k$119K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 101-1k$42K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- >100k$27K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money split
- 1-100$20K vol.Yes 64%No 36%Smart money: Yes
- 5k-10k$16K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 25k-100k$14K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 2.5k-5k$12K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?"?
75 wallets hold a position worth $675 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is FortunatelyFestive, with $110 on it, $67K lifetime profit over 197 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is 0x38d5…063c, with $16 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 808 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.