Who's betting on “Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $42K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.1K by 95 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 69 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
95 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is FortunatelyFestive, with $51 on it, $67K lifetime profit over 197 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is 0x9BBD88140CcBA06100DA00476257d9cffCE56e72-1771508511872, with $560 on it, $40K lifetime profit over 213 markets (52% won).
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $187
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $950
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$187 on it
- 1FortunatelyFestive85% won of 197 · whale$51+$67K lifetime
- 2S88872% won of 375 · whale$13+$14K lifetime
- 3chromeedgefirefox89% won of 37$12−$43 lifetime
- 4awgraewrfa100% won of 5$11−$189 lifetime
- 50x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-177846773587665% won of 284 · whale$9+$27K lifetime
No$950 on it
- 10x9BBD88140CcBA06100DA00476257d9cffCE56e72-177150851187252% won of 213 · balanced$560+$40K lifetime
- 2LBZbot238% won of 290$76−$326 lifetime
- 3pukingenad83% won of 24$58−$897 lifetime
- 4pabalo100% won of 24$55+$15 lifetime
- 5zaczaccru86% won of 35 · balanced$51+$536 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
7 more- 10k-25k$119K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- >100k$27K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money split
- 1-100$20K vol.Yes 64%No 36%Smart money: Yes
- 5k-10k$16K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 25k-100k$14K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 2.5k-5k$12K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- 1k-2.5k$12K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?"?
95 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is FortunatelyFestive, with $51 on it, $67K lifetime profit over 197 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is 0x9BBD88140CcBA06100DA00476257d9cffCE56e72-1771508511872, with $560 on it, $40K lifetime profit over 213 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $42K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.