Who's betting on “Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 66% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 65 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $63 by 70 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 61 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 2% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 2% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 59 points. A week ago, Yes by 65 points.
Who holds it
70 wallets hold a position worth $63 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $6 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $20 on it, $51K lifetime loss over 49,306 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $37
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $26
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$37 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$6+$254K lifetime
- 22kparabellum90% won of 154$4−$99 lifetime
- 3awgraewrfa100% won of 5$3−$189 lifetime
- 40x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934100% won of 133$2+$206 lifetime
- 5Biver5228% won of 360 · noise$2+$6.4K lifetime
No$26 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,306$20−$51K lifetime
- 2JustBot82% won of 336$5−$3.7K lifetime
- 30x1fd0…c6a780% won of 269$0−$7.9K lifetime
- 415rob46% won of 252 · noise$0+$3.2K lifetime
- 5balthazar53% won of 52,697 · whale$0+$1.2M lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
7 more- 10k-25k$119K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 101-1k$42K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- >100k$27K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money split
- 1-100$20K vol.Yes 64%No 36%Smart money: Yes
- 25k-100k$14K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 2.5k-5k$12K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- 1k-2.5k$12K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?"?
70 wallets hold a position worth $63 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $6 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $20 on it, $51K lifetime loss over 49,306 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 2% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 65 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 59 points. A week ago, Yes by 65 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.